skpro.metrics.CRPS#

class skpro.metrics.CRPS(multioutput='uniform_average', multivariate=False)[source]#

Continuous rank probability score for distributional predictions.

Also known as:

integrated squared loss (ISL)
integrated Brier loss (IBL)
energy loss

For a predictive distribution \(d\) and a ground truth value \(y\), the CRPS is defined as \(L(y, d) := \mathbb{E}_{Y \sim d}|Y-y| - \frac{1}{2} \mathbb{E}_{X,Y \sim d}|X-Y|\).

evaluate computes the average test sample loss.
evaluate_by_index produces the loss sample by test data point.
multivariate controls averaging over variables.

Parameters:

multioutput{‘raw_values’, ‘uniform_average’} or array-like of shape: (n_outputs,), default=’uniform_average’

Defines whether and how to aggregate metric for across variables. If ‘uniform_average’ (default), errors are mean-averaged across variables. If array-like, errors are weighted averaged across variables, values as weights. If ‘raw_values’, does not average errors across variables, columns are retained.
multivariatebool, optional, default=False: if True, behaves as multivariate CRPS (sum of scores) CRPS is computed for entire row, results one score per row if False, is univariate log-loss, per variable CRPS is computed per variable marginal, results in many scores per row

Attributes:

name: Return the name of the object or estimator.

Methods

`__call__`(y_true, y_pred, **kwargs)	Calculate metric value using underlying metric function.
`clone`()	Obtain a clone of the object with same hyper-parameters.
`clone_tags`(estimator[, tag_names])	Clone tags from another estimator as dynamic override.
`create_test_instance`([parameter_set])	Construct Estimator instance if possible.
`create_test_instances_and_names`([parameter_set])	Create list of all test instances and a list of names for them.
`evaluate`(y_true, y_pred, **kwargs)	Evaluate the metric on given inputs.
`evaluate_by_index`(y_true, y_pred, **kwargs)	Evaluate the metric by instance index (row).
`get_class_tag`(tag_name[, tag_value_default])	Get a class tag's value.
`get_class_tags`()	Get class tags from the class and all its parent classes.
`get_config`()	Get config flags for self.
`get_param_defaults`()	Get object's parameter defaults.
`get_param_names`()	Get object's parameter names.
`get_params`([deep])	Get a dict of parameters values for this object.
`get_tag`(tag_name[, tag_value_default, ...])	Get tag value from estimator class and dynamic tag overrides.
`get_tags`()	Get tags from estimator class and dynamic tag overrides.
`get_test_params`([parameter_set])	Retrieve test parameters.
`is_composite`()	Check if the object is composed of other BaseObjects.
`reset`()	Reset the object to a clean post-init state.
`set_config`(**config_dict)	Set config flags to given values.
`set_params`(**params)	Set the parameters of this object.
`set_random_state`([random_state, deep, ...])	Set random_state pseudo-random seed parameters for self.
`set_tags`(**tag_dict)	Set dynamic tags to given values.

classmethod get_test_params(parameter_set='default')[source]#: Retrieve test parameters.

clone()[source]#

Obtain a clone of the object with same hyper-parameters.

A clone is a different object without shared references, in post-init state. This function is equivalent to returning sklearn.clone of self.

Raises:

RuntimeError if the clone is non-conforming, due to faulty __init__.

Notes

If successful, equal in value to type(self)(**self.get_params(deep=False)).

clone_tags(estimator, tag_names=None)[source]#

Clone tags from another estimator as dynamic override.

Parameters:

estimatorestimator inheriting from :class:BaseEstimator
tag_namesstr or list of str, default = None: Names of tags to clone. If None then all tags in estimator are used as tag_names.

Returns:

Self: Reference to self.

Notes

Changes object state by setting tag values in tag_set from estimator as dynamic tags in self.

classmethod create_test_instance(parameter_set='default')[source]#

Construct Estimator instance if possible.

Parameters:

parameter_setstr, default=”default”: Name of the set of test parameters to return, for use in tests. If no special parameters are defined for a value, will return “default” set.

Returns:

instanceinstance of the class with default parameters

Notes

get_test_params can return dict or list of dict. This function takes first or single dict that get_test_params returns, and constructs the object with that.

classmethod create_test_instances_and_names(parameter_set='default')[source]#

Create list of all test instances and a list of names for them.

Parameters:

parameter_setstr, default=”default”: Name of the set of test parameters to return, for use in tests. If no special parameters are defined for a value, will return “default” set.

Returns:

objslist of instances of cls: i-th instance is cls(**cls.get_test_params()[i])
nameslist of str, same length as objs: i-th element is name of i-th instance of obj in tests convention is {cls.__name__}-{i} if more than one instance otherwise {cls.__name__}

evaluate(y_true, y_pred, **kwargs)[source]#

Evaluate the metric on given inputs.

Parameters:

y_truepd.Series, pd.DataFrame, 1D np.array, or 2D np.ndarray: Ground truth (correct) target values.
y_predreturn object of probabilistic predictition method scitype:y_pred: must have same index and columns as y_true Predicted values, i-th row is prediction for i-th row of y_true.

Returns:

lossfloat or 1-column pd.DataFrame with calculated metric value(s): float if multioutput = “uniform_average” or multivariate = True 1-column df if multioutput = “raw_values” and metric is not multivariate metric is always averaged (arithmetic) over rows

evaluate_by_index(y_true, y_pred, **kwargs)[source]#

Evaluate the metric by instance index (row).

Parameters:

y_truepd.Series, pd.DataFrame, 1D np.array, or 2D np.ndarray: Ground truth (correct) target values.
y_predskpro BaseDistribution of same shape as y_true: Predictive distribution. Must have same index and columns as y_true.

classmethod get_class_tag(tag_name, tag_value_default=None)[source]#

Get a class tag’s value.

Does not return information from dynamic tags (set via set_tags or clone_tags) that are defined on instances.

Parameters:

tag_namestr: Name of tag value.
tag_value_defaultany: Default/fallback value if tag is not found.

Returns:

tag_value: Value of the tag_name tag in self. If not found, returns tag_value_default.

classmethod get_class_tags()[source]#

Get class tags from the class and all its parent classes.

Retrieves tag: value pairs from _tags class attribute. Does not return information from dynamic tags (set via set_tags or clone_tags) that are defined on instances.

Returns:

collected_tagsdict: Dictionary of class tag name: tag value pairs. Collected from _tags class attribute via nested inheritance.

get_config()[source]#

Get config flags for self.

Returns:

config_dictdict: Dictionary of config name : config value pairs. Collected from _config class attribute via nested inheritance and then any overrides and new tags from _onfig_dynamic object attribute.

classmethod get_param_defaults()[source]#

Get object’s parameter defaults.

Returns:

default_dict: dict[str, Any]: Keys are all parameters of cls that have a default defined in __init__ values are the defaults, as defined in __init__.

classmethod get_param_names()[source]#

Get object’s parameter names.

Returns:

param_names: list[str]: Alphabetically sorted list of parameter names of cls.

get_params(deep=True)[source]#

Get a dict of parameters values for this object.

Parameters:

deepbool, default=True

Whether to return parameters of components.

If True, will return a dict of parameter name : value for this object, including parameters of components (= BaseObject-valued parameters).
If False, will return a dict of parameter name : value for this object, but not include parameters of components.

Returns:

paramsdict with str-valued keys

Dictionary of parameters, paramname : paramvalue keys-value pairs include:

always: all parameters of this object, as via get_param_names values are parameter value for that key, of this object values are always identical to values passed at construction
if deep=True, also contains keys/value pairs of component parameters parameters of components are indexed as [componentname]__[paramname] all parameters of componentname appear as paramname with its value
if deep=True, also contains arbitrary levels of component recursion, e.g., [componentname]__[componentcomponentname]__[paramname], etc

get_tag(tag_name, tag_value_default=None, raise_error=True)[source]#

Get tag value from estimator class and dynamic tag overrides.

Parameters:

tag_namestr: Name of tag to be retrieved
tag_value_defaultany type, optional; default=None: Default/fallback value if tag is not found
raise_errorbool: whether a ValueError is raised when the tag is not found

Returns:

tag_valueAny: Value of the tag_name tag in self. If not found, returns an error if raise_error is True, otherwise it returns tag_value_default.

Raises:

ValueError if raise_error is True i.e. if tag_name is not in
self.get_tags().keys()

get_tags()[source]#

Get tags from estimator class and dynamic tag overrides.

Returns:

collected_tagsdict: Dictionary of tag name : tag value pairs. Collected from _tags class attribute via nested inheritance and then any overrides and new tags from _tags_dynamic object attribute.

is_composite()[source]#

Check if the object is composed of other BaseObjects.

A composite object is an object which contains objects, as parameters. Called on an instance, since this may differ by instance.

Returns:

composite: bool: Whether an object has any parameters whose values are BaseObjects.

property name[source]#: Return the name of the object or estimator.

reset()[source]#

Reset the object to a clean post-init state.

Using reset, runs __init__ with current values of hyper-parameters (result of get_params). This Removes any object attributes, except:

hyper-parameters = arguments of __init__

object attributes containing double-underscores, i.e., the string “__”

Class and object methods, and class attributes are also unaffected.

Returns:

self: Instance of class reset to a clean post-init state but retaining the current hyper-parameter values.

Notes

Equivalent to sklearn.clone but overwrites self. After self.reset() call, self is equal in value to type(self)(**self.get_params(deep=False))

set_config(**config_dict)[source]#

Set config flags to given values.

Parameters:

config_dictdict: Dictionary of config name : config value pairs.

Returns:

selfreference to self.

Notes

Changes object state, copies configs in config_dict to self._config_dynamic.

set_params(**params)[source]#

Set the parameters of this object.

The method works on simple estimators as well as on composite objects. Parameter key strings <component>__<parameter> can be used for composites, i.e., objects that contain other objects, to access <parameter> in the component <component>. The string <parameter>, without <component>__, can also be used if this makes the reference unambiguous, e.g., there are no two parameters of components with the name <parameter>.

Parameters:

**paramsdict: BaseObject parameters, keys must be <component>__<parameter> strings. __ suffixes can alias full strings, if unique among get_params keys.

Returns:

selfreference to self (after parameters have been set)

set_random_state(random_state=None, deep=True, self_policy='copy')[source]#

Set random_state pseudo-random seed parameters for self.

Finds random_state named parameters via estimator.get_params, and sets them to integers derived from random_state via set_params. These integers are sampled from chain hashing via sample_dependent_seed, and guarantee pseudo-random independence of seeded random generators.

Applies to random_state parameters in estimator depending on self_policy, and remaining component estimators if and only if deep=True.

Note: calls set_params even if self does not have a random_state, or none of the components have a random_state parameter. Therefore, set_random_state will reset any scikit-base estimator, even those without a random_state parameter.

Parameters:

random_stateint, RandomState instance or None, default=None

Pseudo-random number generator to control the generation of the random integers. Pass int for reproducible output across multiple function calls.

deepbool, default=True

Whether to set the random state in sub-estimators. If False, will set only self’s random_state parameter, if exists. If True, will set random_state parameters in sub-estimators as well.

self_policystr, one of {“copy”, “keep”, “new”}, default=”copy”

“copy” : estimator.random_state is set to input random_state
“keep” : estimator.random_state is kept as is
“new” : estimator.random_state is set to a new random state,

derived from input random_state, and in general different from it

Returns:

selfreference to self

set_tags(**tag_dict)[source]#

Set dynamic tags to given values.

Parameters:

**tag_dictdict: Dictionary of tag name: tag value pairs.

Returns:

Self: Reference to self.

Notes

Changes object state by setting tag values in tag_dict as dynamic tags in self.